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Insights

Letters, research, and market commentary on the structural shift in technology investing.

CommentaryFebruary 2026

The Cost of Distribution in the AI Era

AI has collapsed the cost of building product. But winning — building a global brand and earning enterprise trust — is getting harder, not easier. When everyone can build the product, only distribution differentiates.

ResearchFebruary 2026

Why the Direct Secondary Market Exists

The secondary market is now the primary liquidity mechanism for private company shareholders. It reached $240 billion in 2025 — nearly ten times its size a decade ago.

ResearchJanuary 2026

AI Is Changing the Economics of Scale

AI-native companies are generating ten to twenty times the revenue per employee of traditional SaaS. Cloud reduced the capital needed to start a company. AI is reducing the capital needed to scale one.

LetterJanuary 2026

The Structural Shift in Tech Investing

Companies that once went public at $200 million in revenue are now staying private well into the billions. The steepest part of the growth curve has moved to the private markets.

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